The latest update from the Ukrainian Deep State analysis group is an “emergency call,” according to one mapper. Russian troops may be close to securing a lodgement on the western side of the Kazennyi Torets River near the village of Razyne, just east of the fortress city of Pokrovsk in eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk Oblast.
If significant Russian forces can cross the river and march west from Razyne, they could put pressure on the supply lines into Pokrovsk, the southernmost chain in a belt of fortified cities stretching north toward the border with Russia.
The Ukrainian troops in and around Pokrovsk—some or all of no fewer than 10 brigades—would surely evacuate the ruined city rather than risk starvation and encirclement. But that would hand Russia its biggest victory in months, albeit an extremely costly one.
“Encircle”