With or Without Truce, Russia's War with Ukraine Heading for Freeze, Analyst Says
Russia is losing over a thousand daily for meager gains, but they still recruit more. Barring 'major power shift,' the war’s intensity will decline, according to Tatarigami.
With or without a formal Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Russia’s wider war is slowing down, one Ukrainian analyst asserted.
“The momentum of this war is gradually fading,” wrote Tatarigami, the founder of the Frontelligence Insight group. “Neither side has enough resources at disposal to achieve a decisive strategic breakthrough.”
Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin has suggested direct talks between Russia and Ukraine in Türkiye—talks that, in concept, could lead
to a ceasefire. But it’s possible Putin is stalling and attempting to drive a diplomatic wedge between Zelensky’s government and the administration of US Pres. Donald Trump, which has demonstrated a tendency to parrot Russian disinformation and could blame Ukraine for Putin’s refusal to end the war.
But “with or without a formal truce, the intensity of the war is likely to decline,” Tatarigami asserted. “The cost-benefit for Russia at this stage is unfavorable.”